The Russians are Coming! The Russians are Coming!

“Everybody to get from street!”

I was late to bed and early to rise but it could have been worse. Somebody triggered a backup alarm somewhere within earshot about 0:dark:30; it woke me. I folded the pillow over my head but I didn’t really sleep that well from then until the alarm.

Speaking of alarms…

I know where the Russians are. I want to know where American reporters are.

The Russian navy announced Carribean maneuvers with the Venezuelans about 2-1/2 months ago or during the height of the presidential campaign season. Nobody noticed, caught up as we were in the color barrier and the cost of Sarah Palin’s wardrobe. Speaking of color, a Cuban poll released this morning noted that no black man would ever ascend to a leadership position in Cuba.

Cuba? CUBA? The biggest foreign policy problem for the new administration is not Iran, Afghanistan, or Iraq. The biggest foreign policy problem is having missile-toting, nuclear-powered warships some 150 miles from my personal front door. (Remember the now-fabled “90 miles from the Bay of Pigs”? Regular readers may recall that my house in the Keys is about that distance away from Cuba).

Four Russian North Fleet and 12 Venezuelan ships lead by nuclear cruiser Peter the Great sailed today from Venezuela’s La Guaira port. The joint naval exercises began this morning and will last two days. You can read the entire story from Novosti, the English-language Russian News and Information Agency.

The Russian and Venezuelan ships-of-war will “practice sea rescue operations and maneuvering, and conduct live-firing artillery drills.” The public reason for the exercises is to plan terrorism and drug trafficking countermeasures but the exercises include aircraft, missiles, and 1,600 Russian marines. Russian strategic bombers overflew South America last month.

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev called the military cooperation “very useful.”

Indeed.

Russia’s entire economy is based on petrodollars. Oil has tanked and they are getting very nervous. When Russia or China (or both together) get nervous, we need to be very worried.

If that’s not enough to get your attention, Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez believes he is the second coming of Castro. Except he may be nastier.

I remember the original Missile Crisis in the Carribean. “Duck and cover” is not a particularly useful exercise against nuclear attack but it is a great exercise to scare fifth-graders.

Here’s the bigger question: I googled and found that the closest American media to notice this is Voice of America. I wonder why no major American reporter seems to remember the last crisis and why no major American news organization is covering this one.

Change?

Change has come to America and Republicans can rejoice. After 8 scandal free years inside the Beltway, the Clinton Administration is back!

U.S. President-elect Barack Obama formally nominated Timothy Geithner as Treasury secretary and Lawrence Summers for the National Economic Council. Geithner worked for Summers who was Treasury secretary under Clinton. Hillary Clinton looks to be Secretary of State. Gov. Bill Richardson of New Mexico is the likely Secretary of Commerce. He was Energy Secretary and U.N. Ambassador under Clinton. Tom Daschle as Secretary of HHS may not sound like a Clintonite but he did lead the defense in the Senate.

Slightly more nebulous, Eric Holder served as deputy attorney general under Clinton and may get a promotion from Obama. Gov. Janet Napolitano of Arizona at Homeland Security served as attorney for Anita Hill in the Senate hearings and is a former U.S. attorney appointed by Clinton.

I’m thinking it is time to pull that biological-fluids-coated dress away from Gil Grissom and give it back to the media.

Bashing – III

I love that General Motors has retired two of five corporate jets.

I do not love that Congress spent their time bashing Ford CEO Alan Mulally, Chrysler CEO Robert Nardelli, and General Motors CEO Rick Wagoner for flying privately to the hearings. What should the CEOs have done? Driven to Washington?

Has anybody in Congress ever looked at the Presidential fleet?

Has anybody looked at how Congress Critters prefer to travel? Can you spell c-o-r-p-o-r-a-t-e jet? Or the Air Force C-20? The C-20 aircraft provide “distinguished visitor airlift” for military and government officials. What’s a C-20? That would be a Gulfstream IV. As an aside, General Motors leases the G-IV aircraft Mr. Wagoner used. We taxpayers own the C-20 G-IVs.

Gee, ya think the Congress critters could maybe perhaps be bashing the wrong target?

It is far, far easier to tear down what you cannot possibly create on your own than it is to create something tangible.

I promised a solution somewhere in this series. Here it is.

Warren Buffett says the only possibilities left for the automakers are a bailout or bankruptcy.

Sorry, Mr. Buffett. You’re wrong. Bankruptcy is not an option.

Bankruptcy is attractive because it allows the companies to void their union contracts and turn over their horrendously expensive pension obligations to the taxpayers. The serious downside is that no manufacturing company recovers from bankruptcy. Would you buy a $30 grand widget if you knew there would be no warranty service or even parts available next year? Nobody would. The serious downside is that half of American manufacturing workers will find themselves out of work within 12 months. The serious downside is that some huge number of individual American shareholders (including me) will lose even more from their retirement funds because bankrupt company stocks evaporate.

But a bailout isn’t the answer, either.

I have a three-part plan. 1: Americans need an attitude adjustment. 2: Carmakers need an attitude adjustment. 3: Congress needs an attitude adjustment.

First, remember what your mother taught you: If you can’t say anything nice, don’t say it at all. Bashing a business leader for doing something you know nothing about does absolutely nothing productive. If you do that, stop. The corollary to mom’s adage is simple. If you hear someone else bashing American business, stop them.

Second, American automakers need to get ahead of the curve on market prediction, manufacturing planning, and management.

GM is now working overtime in Texas to make trucks because they shut their truck plants down too early. Not enough of the American auto production lines are flexible. And ongoing layoffs have stripped American companies of their best and brightest workers (that’s not just an automaker problem. At Motorola, for example, product developers with excellent rankings are next up for layoff because all of the “average” and “good” engineers are already gone.)

Finally, the automakers do need some Congressional help. Congress can pass a law. Change labor laws to let the automakers void their union contracts. Then give those horrendously expensive pension obligations to the Fed. That’s going to happen whether we taxpayers like it or not.

Give us that kind of bailout and Messrs. Mulally, Nardelli, and Wagoner can take UAW President Ron Gettelfinger out to the woodshed and beat him until they have appropriate contracts for all the employees as well as for Messrs. Mulally, Nardelli, and Wagoner. After all, if the union folk must give up half their pay, the CEOs can give up most (90%?) of theirs.

We need to do something. Chrysler is probably worth about a billion dollars on the market. Ford’s market cap is $4.04 billion today. GM’s market cap is below Ford at just $1.91 billion. Bill Gates, Mr. Buffet, or the U.S. Congress could simply buy all three on the open market and even though it would be a better investment than the bank bailout has proven to be, that latter is a bleak thought.

Bashing – II

Politics bashing bidness, otherwise known as the famed and apparently widely sought-after Rectal-Cranial Inversion.

Have you noticed the direct correlation between Nancy Pelosi’s statements and the stock market tumbles? Consider this. Every 400 point drop in the Dow has come immediately after Ms. Pelosi mounted her podium.

Is it something in the water? Is it genetic? What is the matter with politicians in general, with Democrats in particular, and with Ms. Pelosi specifically? Are they just plain stupid or is it their God-given mission to ruin America?

We’ve been riding a couple of horses in this series: bad science and bad management.

Global Warming is a good example of Not-So-Real science. The popular press and the Congress would have us believe that all scientists agree on the causes and outcomes of Global Warming. And yet. And yet the National Climatic Data Center reports that global temperatures in 2006 were the third coldest on record.

Meanwhile, Weather Channel founder John Coleman wrote, “There is no significant man made global warming. There has not been any in the past, there is none now and there is no reason to fear any in the future. The climate of Earth is changing. It has always changed. But mankind’s activities have not overwhelmed or significantly modified the natural forces.” Mr. Coleman may be a whackjob but he is a whackjob with better scientific credentials than any national elected official.

That must be why Ms. Pelosi (with the help of Mr. Gore) will once again proclaim that Congress has more scientific knowledge than the actual scientists. The Democratic Global Climate Control machine just keeps on trucking. So to speak.

And then there is business.

Here’s a typical recent comment: “Automakers don’t need a bailout. Look at the airlines.”

And another: “General Motors doesn’t make cars that people want to buy.”

Hello?

It may be true that American automakers can survive without an infusion of loan funds but that airline analogy is just plain wrong. The airlines are a service business. Automakers make actual products.

Which company sells more cars in the world, General Motors or, say, Citroen? How about General Motors or, say, Volkswagen? Oooh, I know. How about General Motors versus, say, Toyota? Yeah, yeah, there is a real battle between the General and Toyota over which is the largest automaker in the world but the fact remains that millions literally millions of people have bought, are buying, and will buy brand new General Motors vehicles this year. That doesn’t add up to “not making cars that people want” even inside the Beltway.

Econ 101: You can fix labor problems by cutting wages, particularly in a service business. You cannot make fixed assets cost less by cutting income.

Ms. Pelosi is playing pur sang politics with a single objective. I believe Ms. Pelosi understands that she cannot ever look good. Therefore she must make everyone else look bad. If the Global Warming political argument destroys American industry and if she can force the automakers into bankruptcy, she believes she can rescue the teeny-tiny-and-oh-so-grateful remainder.

Assuming that any American employers last long enough to be “saved.”

Is it something in the water? Something in the air? Is it genetic? Maybe we need a government-funded study.

Or not.

Didya Vote?

The polls have closed in the East so I figure it’s safe to tell you how I voted as opposed to telling you over and over how you ought to vote. We have to whisper, though.

I voted for the old white guy instead of the young black guy or the other old white guys or all the other guys.

I know, I know, I said I was going to vote for Paris Hilton. And I did engender a brief flurry of interest in the Pick Dick campaign. I thought about Jimmy Buffett but his running mate never made the news. I would have voted for his uncle but he was never really a candidate.

Down here by the southernmost point in these semi-United States our ballots had 14 bona fide offices contested plus six judges up for retention. We also decided on six amendments to the state constitution, numbered 1 through 8. It’s Florida. Go figure.

I didn’t count how many candidates there were in total but 13 people wanted my vote for President. We have now elected a Congress critter, a state attorney, a state representative, a Sheriff, a property appraiser, the superintendent of schools I wrote about earlier, the supervisor of elections, three county commissioners, and two members of the mosquito control board.

The Mosquito Control Board is a big deal here simply because mosquitoes are. Here, that is. The Board controls about a gazillion dollar budget but no longer flies the old fleet of DC3s at treetop level to scare the mosquitoes to death. Now they drive around spraying from little pickup trucks and fly helicopters lower than Homeland Security. I did not vote for the candidate who was in jail at the time of the election. Joan Lord-Papy was one of three votes I cast for an incumbent.

Mostly I took my own advice to “Throw Da Bums Out.” The other two office holders I voted for were Congresswoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Florida) and Property Appraiser Ervin Higgs, a Democrat. Ms. Ros-Lehtinen ran a reasonably clean campaign (a serious rarity in South Florida politics where the Diaz-Balart brothers, Raul Martinez, and Joe Garcia alone refilled Lake Okeechobee and the Everglades with mud). She may also be the only Republican who retains a seat in Congress this year if my vote has anything to say about it.

Unfortunately, every Democrat running will be returned to office, too.

The negatives were huge on both sides of the State’s Attorney contest so I held my nose and voted for the challenger.

State Rep. Ron Saunders will continue as the Keys representative. It’s nice that he seems like another of the good guys because Republican challenger Ernie Hernandez withdrew from the race in September. Hernandez was a mystery. He did not talk to reporters, attend candidate forums, or gladhand anywhere. His name remained on the ballots printed before he withdrew. The Elections Office will not count votes for Hernandez.

The Sheriff’s Office was an open seat but one candidate has served in that department for 27 years, is currently a Captain there, and got the retiring Sheriff’s endorsement. That’s as close to incumbency as it gets. I voted for the DEA guy.

Two of the three County Commission seats were open so I voted for one Republican, one Democrat, and one NPA. I figure party politics has no business on a Town. City, or County board. The Democrat I chose, Heather Carruthers, runs a “we are not gay” guest house for women only. She got hammered unfairly for that in the campaign. She has also taken the lead in reining in Citizens Insurance, the insurer of last resort who carries my hurricane insurance here at great cost to me. She seems like one of the good guys.

I’ve had trouble finding anything about the judges on the ballot. The Florida bar said their lawyers “overwhelmingly recommend” retaining all those on the ballot. Here’s how they define “overwhelmingly”: A secret ballot was mailed in August to 62,779 lawyers residing and practicing in Florida (the Bar has more than 84,000 members–I don’t know what happened to the other 21,000-odd lawyers). 4,132 lawyers participated in the poll. Yeppers, I’m overwhelmed alright.

The anti-abortion crowd asked, How does Justice Wells vote on pro-life issues? The anti-abortion crowd is, as usual, off base. He’s not a U.S. Supreme Court Justice so his position prolly doesn’t matter. More important in all the retention choices is how closely to the law did the judges hew and how well did they manage their courtrooms.

The spouse of circuit judge candidate Tegan Slaton is Public Defender Rosemary Enright; that requires him to recuse himself from cases defended by the P.D.’s office. I hated to vote against Mr. Slaton because he was the better candidate on paper, but his inability to hear the majority of criminal and juvenile delinquency cases took him out of the running.

In addition to wanting term limits for elected officials, I disapprove of changing a constitution every time the wind blows. Two amendments are life-changing.

Fortunately, Constitutional amendments need 60% support to pass.

Number 1 asks to delete the provisions that allow the Legislature to prohibit ownership of real property by aliens who cannot become citizens. In 1926, that meant Chinese immigrants. 80 years later, alien means anyone who remains a citizen of some other country.

You already know what I think of Defense of Marriage amendments. I expect Number 2 to fail here in Monroe County but this is red state Florida and it has a lot of advertising oomph around the state. The amendment failed to get enough signatures to make it to the 2006 ballot but the supporters pushed it on this year. It’s a bad amendment because it segregates citizens and because it will cost a fortune to defend.

That’s the only citizen-sponsored amendment on the ballot–the others are housekeeping, put there by the Legislature and a tax commission to “clean up” language that governs how properties are assessed: a couple of current use tax exemptions, 15 cents on the property tax to pay for the air ambulance, and the penn(ies) on the sales tax for community colleges. I apologize, but I did vote for allowing assessments based on current use. I voted against all the others.

Back to the old white guy.

<sotto voce> Denny Crane </sotto voce>, of course.

Unfortunately, the election is over. We all lost.