Jamie’s World … And Mine

This is a story of unintended consequences. And of the unconsidered effects of law.

Christina's WorldWe listened to the podcast, Naomi’s World last week. The Truth takes a surreal — and fun — turn on a trip to the Museum of Modern Art in New York City. Go listen. It’s good.

Anne asked me about Andrew Wyeth and his son, my contemporary, Jamie. We got to wondering how artists like Jamie Wyeth cope in this day of Obamacare.

Disclosures:
1. My mom knew Andy. I think I have met Jamie but I have no “inside track” about his insurance and nothing in this column came from him.
2. I chair a small arts council (a “Local Arts Service Organization”) and worked to create a group health insurance plan to lower the cost for artists.

Does Jamie Wyeth collect social security? Is he on Medicare? Does he have to buy insurance under Obamacare?

SupportThe third generation of the Wyeth family of painters, James Browning Wyeth was a participant in NASA’s Eyewitness to Space program during the late ’60s and ’70s. I was privileged to exhibit his Support at left and Apollo 11 One, Two, Three when we brought the NASA art exhibit to St. Albans aboard the ArTrain.

He is three years older than I so we thought he might not have to fight with the Obamacare Exchange.

“If you’re over 65, you’re eligible for Medicare,” Mr. Obama and most other people including every Exchange “assistant” I’ve talked to as well as Rufus believe. “I thought 65 had always got you Medicare,” Rufus told me.

When you work and pay Social Security taxes, you earn “credits” toward Social Security benefits. If you were born in 1929 or later, you need 40 credits (10 years of work).

Most people get hospital insurance [Medicare Part A] when they turn 65. You qualify for it automatically if you are eligible for Social Security or Railroad Retirement benefits.

Ernest Ackerman got the first ever Social Security payment, a lump sum of 17 cents, in January 1937. This was a one-time pay-out, the only form of benefits paid during the start-up period January 1937 through December 1939. Ida May Fuller of Ludlow, Vermont, was the first recipient of monthly Social Security benefits. Medicare was passed into law in 1965; the first beneficiaries signed up for the program a year later. Former president Harry Truman received the first Medicare card but not everyone over 65 can get one.

Turns out Mr. Obama — and most of the rest of us — got it wrong. Again.

Most people do indeed get Medicare Part A when they turn 65 but it is not available to you if you didn’t pay in to Social Security for 10 or more years over your lifetime. It is not available to you if you’ve been in the U.S. legally for fewer than 5 years.

Some artists and musicians are approaching or over 65 have never held a day job, never paid in to Social Security through an employer, never earned enough to pay in to Social Security on Schedule E. I worry about their retirement.

As far as I know, Mr. Wyeth has never had a day job.

If you are over 65 and aren’t eligible for Medicare, you may buy a plan in the Exchange. However, you will not receive a subsidy.

Mr. Wyeth is over 65 and could be required to buy insurance on the Exchange. The good news is that insurers are required to offer him a policy and that he can most likely afford the premiums. The bad news is that other artists are not so fortunate.

I’ve covered why you might not be eligible for Medicare. You are eligible at age 65 if you:
• Receive Social Security or railroad retirement benefits;
• Are not getting Social Security or railroad retirement benefits, but you have worked long enough to be eligible for them;
Would be entitled to Social Security benefits based on your spouse’s (or divorced spouse’s) work record, and that spouse is at least 62;or
• Worked long enough in a federal, state, or local government job to be insured for Medicare.

The definition of a successful artist in Vermont has long been “an artist with a working spouse.”

It is 3°F in North Puffin as I write this. Gonna be some other artists out in the cold this winter.

 

Guest Post: Global Cooling on My Mind

[Special to the Perspective] — The difference between weather and climate has been explained this way (which seems fairly good to me):

“Weather” is your mood and “Climate” is your personality.
Climate is a more permanent, underlying factor that causes the Weather.

There is also an old Jewish proverb that is one of my favorites: “For example is not proof.” The science of “anthropogenic global warming” is based around a lot of anecdotal evidence, some good data, and government funded computer programs. We have to be equally careful with anecdotal evidence such as the ones in items 1-9 going around lately, but consider the following:

1. The U.S. and Europe have had record, early cold/snow in 2013.
2. Australia has had very late (nearly summertime) snow and cold.
3. Cairo (Egypt, not Illinois) had snow for the 1st time in 100 years. Storm Alexa, the worst storm to hit Jerusalem for 60 years, left snow up to 19 inches deep in some areas.
4. The ice coverage area in the arctic ocean is higher than it has been in the last 7 years and that in the Anctartic has been trending higher for the last 30 years and more.
5. Solar activity is low now and projected to enter a period of 30 years of low activity.
6. Every data collection shows there has not been any global warming since 1998 — ironically the year after the Kyoto Protocol was signed.
7. The models developed by multiple agencies have been wrong in predicting the slight cooling over that period.
8. There are many cases of warmer temperatures than what we have now — such as in the medieval ages.
9. There is increasing consensus within the scientific community that the models have overstated the importance of greenhouse gases and understated the importance of solar radiation.

Add to the anecdotal evidence above a few other factoids:

A. The sun is overwhelmingly the source of heat on the Earth.
B. Carbon dioxide solubility in water drops with increasing temperatures.
C. Heat loss at night (the mechanism presumably responsible for global warming) is strictly based on radiation from Earth’s surface and atmosphere to the sub-zero cold of outer space. This transfer mechanism is not subject to sharp changes (ie a discontinuity), because neither the Earth’s surface temperature nor the blanket of greenhouse gases, nor the temperature of space can change suddenly. Indeed the temperature of space does not change at all and the greenhouse gas concentration has been increasing steadily. So basically nothing can explain reduced radiation at night – the supposed mechanism of globval warming conventional thought.
D. As opposed to the heat losses at night not changing quickly, we do know that solar activity does have ‘rapid’ changes.
E. The rapid changes in warming or cooling, therefore, must be due to higher/lower solar activity and incident radiation coming to Earth.

Combining A and B and E, a reasonable scientist would investigate that it is more likely that atmospheric CO2 lags heating rather than the other (more conventional) opinion that has dominated the public discourse for the last 20 years.

For more information:

o The CDIAC offers a lot of data and facts on concentration and sources of atmospheric CO2. CDIAC is a unit of the U.S. Department of Energy Climate and Environmental Sciences Division of the Office of Biological and Environmental Research.
o The sea ice extent in both hemispheres is available from The University of Illinois (where Dangerous Bill taught for many, many years) Polar Research Group is part of UIUC Department of Atmospheric Sciences.
o A study by Swedish scientist Leif Kullman and others analyzed fossils in the Scandes mountains. They found that tree lines for different species of trees were higher during the Roman and Medieval times than they are today. The temperatures were higher as well.

–Felipe Yanes


Editor’s Note: The literature is full of data, much of which contradicts the official “climate change” arguments. Mr. Yanes has pointed out some of the flaws.

Solar heating deniers (many of whom ask for government credits to add solar devices to private homes) lost the “anthropogenic global warming” argument so they now are trying to change it to the “man-made climate change” argument. Over the millennia, the climate has and does change as solar activity varies, the magnetic poles shift, the moon wobbles, and Earth’s axis tilts a few degrees one way or the other.

Science isn’t “fixed,” permanent, in stasis. Mr. Yanes’ reasonable scientist would discover that narcissistic comic book illustrators and fiction writers who defend AGW know little about actual science and have adopted the now conventional opinion that they have more control over their environment than even Jack Williamson believed.

They have to. Otherwise, they lose control of the rest of us.

 

As Seen in the New York Times

Going negative. I subscribe to the New York Times’ own daily email story aggregator. The New York Times is (almost) the most often quoted journal of the liberal left. I put in the “almost” qualifier because anecdotally it’s a tossup between that venerable newspaper and the Daily Kos.

The New York TimesThe New York Times has had hundreds of stories about the health care act this year alone. Many were positive. Many pointed out its shortcomings. Stories about the flaws are coming faster. In fact, in the last month the newspaper has flogged Obamacare as its lead story nine times in the email notifications. Every one of those stories outlined growing problems in the law and its implementation.

Saturday, October 26, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Promised Fix for Health Site Could Squeeze Some Users

Thursday, November 7, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Despite Fumbles, Obama Defends Health Care Law

Saturday, November 9, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Cuts in Hospital Subsidies Threaten Safety-Net Care

Thursday, November 14, 2013
Today’s Headlines: With Enrollment Slow, Some Democrats Back Change in Health Law

Friday, November 15, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Obama Moves to Avert Cancellation of Insurance

Wednesday, November 20, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Perks Ease Way in Health Plans for Lawmakers

Thursday, November 28, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Online Health Law Sign-Up Is Delayed for Small Business

Friday, November 29, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Medicaid Growth Could Aggravate Doctor Shortage (Under Obamacare, a wave of additional Americans will soon be covered by Medicaid, a program that has struggled with a shortage of doctors willing to accept its low reimbursement rates and red tape.)

Saturday, November 30, 2013
Today’s Headlines: Health Care Site Rushing to Make Fixes by Sunday

Those nine headlines — that’s thirty percent of the lead stories this month — here were uniformly negative. That’s telling us something.

 

And the Hits Just Keep on Coming…

Two more not so affordable parts of the Unaffordable Health Care Act:

1. You don’t qualify for a subsidy if your income is less than 100% of the Federal Poverty Level.

2. Likewise you don’t get a subsidy if your filing status is “married filing separately.” If you’re married, your tax filing status must be “married filing jointly” in order to qualify for a subsidy.

“So, the poor folk this is designed to cover can’t afford it?”

$11,490. That’s the 2013 Federal Poverty Guideline for one individual living anywhere in the 48 Contiguous States and the District of Columbia.
$11,491. That’s the minimum one individual living anywhere in the 48 Contiguous States and the District of Columbia can earn to qualify for an Obamacare subsidy
25,273,000. That’s the number of individuals living anywhere in the 48 Contiguous States and the District of Columbia who earn less than $11,490.
25,273,000. That’s the number of individuals living anywhere in the 48 Contiguous States and the District of Columbia who don’t qualify for Obamacare premium tax credits or cost-sharing subsidies.

That’s right, Pookie, if you are the poorest of the poor, you don’t get premium tax credits or cost-sharing subsidies. [Note to those who are counting, some but not all of those 25,273,000 do qualify for Medicaid.]

“And if you and your spouse don’t live together, you’re basically screwed.”

About 2,408,000 people filed separate returns in 2009, the most recent year the IRS has published. About 1,811,779 (One million, eight hundred eleven thousand, seven hundred seventy-nine) of those reported less that $49,960 in income, the cut-off for individual subsidies. One point eight million people left out by the Unaffordable Care Act.

Well, Pookie, you might not be getting screwed but, yeah, you are.


If you support Obamacare, this is what your crutch hath wrought.


Pogo: We Have Met the Enemy
 

Cluster Fudge

My second favorite fudge, layered of chocolate and Key lime, comes from Key Weird. This ain’t that.

Still, South Puffin is in about the geographic middle of Monroe County, the southernmost county in Florida, and home of that fudge. Cluster and otherwise.

Our county School District is $1.2 million in the hole again.

Regular readers might recall that the Monroe County School District has a history. A jury found former school superintendent Randy Acevedo guilty of three felonies for abetting his wife’s theft of public funds and off to jail he went. His wife, ousted Adult Education Coordinator Monique Acevedo, had pled guilty to six felony counts for stealing $413,000 from the district, although she blamed her crimes on an “undetected bipolar disorder made worse by an addiction to oxycodone.”

Alrighty then.

Enter Gov. Rick Scott who “gave” teachers a $2,500 raise this year; the boost was one of his priorities from the 2013 legislative session. So far, 17 Florida school districts have sorted out the pay raises and 50 have not.

Monroe County’s new school superintendent went a different route.

See, Mr. Acevedo and his successor, Jesus Jara, left district finances in the toilet. The unions refused to let the board reduce salaries. The electric company refused to waive the electric bills. The buses were already running on fumes. The board opted to furlough teachers, staff, and blue collar workers.

It was not a popular move among teachers, staff, and blue collar workers. They called the furloughs a “pay cut.”

“Randy and Jara spent your paychecks,” Superintendent Mark Porter told the teachers.

The furlough program has been in place since 2011 and has saved the district $1.7 million each of the past two years but it was a bad solution to a lousy problem and Mr. Porter wanted to end it.

The super tapped $1.4 million from Gov. Scott’s mandated teacher raise program to underwrite the cost of ending the furloughs.

Now state officials say the new’s plan to use the new state money is illegal. That means the state says we had to keep furloughing our employees to cover costs but we also have to give them raises while they are not being paid.

Huh?

Flag of the Conch Republic -- Motto: We Seceded Where Others FailedAs an aside, it’s mostly our (local) money. Because Monroe is considered “property-rich,” 90% of school funding is raised through local property taxes, with the remaining 10% coming from the state. That means of the $1.4 million earmarked for the raises, the state kicked in about twenty-seven cents.

There was a reason the Conch Republic seceded from the United States in 1982. It is time to remind Tallahassee we still have our flags.


Worth remembering: the word “Fudge” in this usage is not the chocolatey goodness that sticks to your fingers but rather a substitute for a fine, graphic, four-letter Anglo-Saxon term.