Rehash

Year end usually means a wrap-up but I really dislike retreading the same roads and rehashing old news. Still, I can maybe get one person to think outside the box.

The trouble with our liberal friends
is not that they’re ignorant; it’s just
that they know so much that isn’t so.
–Ronald Reagan

University of Vermont professor Henry Perkins’ eugenics courses and his “Vermont Eugenics Survey” — well supported by his own empirical evidence — led directly to the Vermont sterilization law of 1931. Vermont’s 253 sterilizations on poor, rural folks as well as Abenaki Indians, French-Canadians and others put that state only half way up the scale of eugenics providers nationwide. Millions of true believers had blind faith in eugenics.

An investigation by the Wall Street Journal earlier this month reported that “lobotomy’s most dogged salesman,” the late Dr. Walter Freeman, performed some 3,500 frontal lobotomies during the 1940s and 1950s including Rosemary Kennedy’s at the age of 23. He was so confident that he once demonstrated his procedure by hammering an icepick into each eye socket of a patient and “toggling” the picks around certain that he was severing the brain tissue “correctly.” Millions of true believers had blind faith in the science of lobotomies.

Astrology has shown through extensive experimentation that the positions of celestial bodies influences, divines, or predicts personality, human activities, and other terrestrial matters. Millions of true believers still have blind faith in the science of Astrology.

Three stories from Facebook this week illustrate my point about blind faith.

“OMG,” my friend Ashley Proctor wrote. “We all must come to the realization that eating anything out of the Pacific Ocean (let alone swimming in it) is a thing in the past.”

She was responding to the headline, All Bluefin Tuna Caught In California Are Radioactive.

“It’s never going away,” she wrote. “Not in our lifetime. Not ever. WE SCREWED UP THE PACIFIC OCEAN, people. We screwed up the OCEAN.”

~~~

I basked (briefly to be sure) when one of my teaching moments appeared to bear fruit: Dr. Jon Friar, my earnest, apparently data driven liberal friend wrote in a Global Warming thread, “This blind race toward ignorance is especially galling when it’s run by people like Dick, who really should know better.” Unfortunately, that and the hope “that reason and facts will convince and even convert, when in fact they don’t do either” have been my own arguments about Dr. Friar and his friends for some years now.

“A more likely truth is that they’re simply feeding your words back to you as a (pretty decent) troll,” Liz Arden said.

~~~

“Climate scientists got their funding from the NSF and NASA,” Dr. Friar said. “You can’t get better data than that.”

~~~

“Congratulations, Dick!” my friend Lee Bruhl wrote in response to Delay Is Not Working. “You have joined a few million other Americans in signing up for more extensive medical insurance than you had before and you did it through Healthcare.gov!”

Our liberal friends obviously take only what confirms their prejudices out of any report.

Delay Is Not Working as well as the bulk of data-driven reports (including mine) about health care reform show that it is neither reformed nor viable. It does pointedly mention that I was never able to make Healthcare.gov work and that I “signed up” via three long phone calls.

Here’s the bulletin: A few million Americans have indeed signed up for new policies under the mandate of Obamacare. Most are the people like me whose policies the ACA forced insurers to cancel. And it appears that fewer Americans will be insured as of January 1 than are insured today. Still, millions of true believers have blind faith in Obamacare.

The liberal argument for Anthropogenic Global Warming goes something like this: “Man causes it so we have to uncause it. I know this because noted scientists like Al Gore told me so.”

That same liberal argument trots out a bunch of data that shows global temps have risen and some computer predictions say that our continued existence will drive its continued rise. “The science is fixed,” they say in contradiction to the actual scientific method. In fact, when other scientists offer data like solar activity that disputes their flat-earth belief, our liberal friends put their thumbs in their ears.

Here’s the bulletin: the Earth heats and the Earth cools. Since we have both limited resources and limited political will, it would be a whole lot smarter to devote those scarce resources to adapting to the changes than to marketing a costly political measure built on junk science. Still, millions of true believers have blind faith in Global Warming and the idea that we can fix it just by eliminating man’s influence.

The liberal argument for research funding goes something like this: “If the government says so, it must be impartial.” Interestingly, many of the scientists studying or performing phrenology, eugenics, lobotomies, and tobacco did so with government funding.

Here’s the bulletin (this is an analogy): Bernie Sanders likes us to believe the PAC campaign funds he raises from unions and American Crystal Sugar are somehow less corrupting than PAC campaign funds his opponents get from ExxonMobil. Still, millions of true believers have blind faith in scientists on the government payroll. As long as those moneys are for a “good” cause.

The radioactive liberal argument starts from a report that “every bluefin tuna tested in the waters off California has shown to be contaminated with radiation that originated in Fukushima. Every single one.”

Never mind that most reports show the Fukushima radiation in Pacific tuna is equal to about one twentieth of a banana (the Forbes article is most readable). Doesn’t matter. Millions of true believers have blind faith that “We screwed up the OCEAN.”

Here’s the bulletin: OMG! WE SCREWED UP BANANAs people! We screwed up BANANAS. I’ll never eat fruit again!


One last try.

The scientific method is the technique true scientists use to investigate phenomena, acquire new knowledge, and (this is key) correct previous theories. Scientists systematically observe, measure, experiment, and test, their hypotheses. Most importantly, scientists support a theory as long as they can confirm its predictions but they challenge a theory when even one experiment or bit of data proves its predictions false.

The political scientists of the liberal left have shown that they find a theory like radioactive tuna, find some data like periodically rising temperatures that supports the theory, and declare the theory fact as they do with the “success” of the ACA in reducing the cost of health care. Then they drink the Kool-Aid.

I’ll never eat fruit again!

Happy New Year.

 

Guest Post: Global Cooling on My Mind

[Special to the Perspective] — The difference between weather and climate has been explained this way (which seems fairly good to me):

“Weather” is your mood and “Climate” is your personality.
Climate is a more permanent, underlying factor that causes the Weather.

There is also an old Jewish proverb that is one of my favorites: “For example is not proof.” The science of “anthropogenic global warming” is based around a lot of anecdotal evidence, some good data, and government funded computer programs. We have to be equally careful with anecdotal evidence such as the ones in items 1-9 going around lately, but consider the following:

1. The U.S. and Europe have had record, early cold/snow in 2013.
2. Australia has had very late (nearly summertime) snow and cold.
3. Cairo (Egypt, not Illinois) had snow for the 1st time in 100 years. Storm Alexa, the worst storm to hit Jerusalem for 60 years, left snow up to 19 inches deep in some areas.
4. The ice coverage area in the arctic ocean is higher than it has been in the last 7 years and that in the Anctartic has been trending higher for the last 30 years and more.
5. Solar activity is low now and projected to enter a period of 30 years of low activity.
6. Every data collection shows there has not been any global warming since 1998 — ironically the year after the Kyoto Protocol was signed.
7. The models developed by multiple agencies have been wrong in predicting the slight cooling over that period.
8. There are many cases of warmer temperatures than what we have now — such as in the medieval ages.
9. There is increasing consensus within the scientific community that the models have overstated the importance of greenhouse gases and understated the importance of solar radiation.

Add to the anecdotal evidence above a few other factoids:

A. The sun is overwhelmingly the source of heat on the Earth.
B. Carbon dioxide solubility in water drops with increasing temperatures.
C. Heat loss at night (the mechanism presumably responsible for global warming) is strictly based on radiation from Earth’s surface and atmosphere to the sub-zero cold of outer space. This transfer mechanism is not subject to sharp changes (ie a discontinuity), because neither the Earth’s surface temperature nor the blanket of greenhouse gases, nor the temperature of space can change suddenly. Indeed the temperature of space does not change at all and the greenhouse gas concentration has been increasing steadily. So basically nothing can explain reduced radiation at night – the supposed mechanism of globval warming conventional thought.
D. As opposed to the heat losses at night not changing quickly, we do know that solar activity does have ‘rapid’ changes.
E. The rapid changes in warming or cooling, therefore, must be due to higher/lower solar activity and incident radiation coming to Earth.

Combining A and B and E, a reasonable scientist would investigate that it is more likely that atmospheric CO2 lags heating rather than the other (more conventional) opinion that has dominated the public discourse for the last 20 years.

For more information:

o The CDIAC offers a lot of data and facts on concentration and sources of atmospheric CO2. CDIAC is a unit of the U.S. Department of Energy Climate and Environmental Sciences Division of the Office of Biological and Environmental Research.
o The sea ice extent in both hemispheres is available from The University of Illinois (where Dangerous Bill taught for many, many years) Polar Research Group is part of UIUC Department of Atmospheric Sciences.
o A study by Swedish scientist Leif Kullman and others analyzed fossils in the Scandes mountains. They found that tree lines for different species of trees were higher during the Roman and Medieval times than they are today. The temperatures were higher as well.

–Felipe Yanes


Editor’s Note: The literature is full of data, much of which contradicts the official “climate change” arguments. Mr. Yanes has pointed out some of the flaws.

Solar heating deniers (many of whom ask for government credits to add solar devices to private homes) lost the “anthropogenic global warming” argument so they now are trying to change it to the “man-made climate change” argument. Over the millennia, the climate has and does change as solar activity varies, the magnetic poles shift, the moon wobbles, and Earth’s axis tilts a few degrees one way or the other.

Science isn’t “fixed,” permanent, in stasis. Mr. Yanes’ reasonable scientist would discover that narcissistic comic book illustrators and fiction writers who defend AGW know little about actual science and have adopted the now conventional opinion that they have more control over their environment than even Jack Williamson believed.

They have to. Otherwise, they lose control of the rest of us.

 

Mo’ Brains

Certain mice and voles have grown bigger brains over the last 100 years.

Mouse line art from Wikimedia CommonsIn her new study, Anthropogenic Environments Exert Variable Selection on Cranial Capacity in Mammals, University of Minnesota biologist Emilie C. Snell-Rood offers a startling affirmation that where critters live may well cause the evolution of bigger brains. And smaller ones.

Dr. Snell-Rood looked at a collection of mammal skulls collected as early as the beginning of the 20th Century by the University of Minnesota. She measured the dimensions of the skulls of ten species including mice, shrews, bats and gophers.

Mouse with bigger craniumThe brains of the white-footed mouse and the meadow vole who had lived several generations in cities were some six percent bigger than the brains of animals collected from farms or wood. She concluded that their brains grew when these species moved to the bright lights and big city distractions.

Uh oh. Does that mean I would have gotten that Nobel by now had I just not stayed a country mouse?

Maybe it’s not just city life.

Evolutionary biologists recognize change is a formidable evolutionary force. Corn’s wild ancestor is teosinte, a grass with tassels. While grasses don’t look much like corn-on-the-cob, a single gene changed by a single kernel’s (almost) uninterrupted passage through a wolf brought about a longer cob in the next season. Likewise, bacteria have adapted to antibiotics in less than a century.

Dr. Snell-Rood found two species of shrews and two species of bats grew mo’ brains in rural Minnesota as well.

She proposes that the brains of all six species have gotten bigger because the radically disrupted environment allows only the animals better at learning to survive.

[Ed. Note: Neanderthal cranial capacity is now believed to have been larger than human skulls. Reconstructions of Neanderthal infants showed that Neanderthals and modern humans started with the same size skull but the Neanderthal brain outpaced the modern human brain by adulthood.]

The Minnesota study also found that the cranial capacity shrinks in species in environments that require no added learning to survive.

Mouse with smaller craniumA subsequent study at the Lightman Group looked at rattus norvegicus trained to hide food from their study group. The animal models developed an interesting added behavior: after the initial concealment, the animals studied distracted all the others in the environment away from the hiding place. In other words, they lied to their study group. After just three generations, cranial capacity in the entire cohort shrank by eight percent.

Finally, a Smithsonian Institution study of groups of 535 people in Washington DC from 1900-2012 shows that brains have gotten 11 percent smaller in that sample.

 

Democrats to Amend Obamacare

WASHINGTON (United Press Association, Monday, Sept. 16, 2013)–Congressman Hank Johnson (D-GA) introduced six amendments to the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act today.

“I don’t believe the President needs Congressional approval to add these improvements to what we all call ‘ObamaCare’,” Rep. Johnson said. “I respect his decision to seek authorization through these amendments. At this time, I am deeply concerned that the current law harms seniors and that these amendments are in our national interest.

“The legacy of aging has left a severe economic and physical gap between seniors and non-seniors but the PPACA’s push for equality which has already spread to Hispanics, gays, immigrants and many others, can now hold its head high as it treats seniors with compassion and respect. The arc of justice seems to get a little better with each passing generation, as we all stand on the shoulders of the great leaders and visionaries who lead the march to pass universal health care four years ago.”

  • Amendment 1 bans lipofuscin deposits in muscle tissue.
  • Amendment 2 bans reduction of the hepatic blood supply as well as cellular multinucleararity and mandates phagocytosis.
  • Amendment 3 bans senescent changes of the cornea including a reduction in epithelial luster.
  • Amendment 4 bans the production of apolipoprotein, APOE4.
  • Amendment 5 bans magic dust.
  • Amendment 6 bans osteopenia.

Co-sponsors included Rep. Xavier Becerra (D-CA), Chairman of the House Democratic Caucus, Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D-TX), and Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA).

“Building on House Democrats 2012 success, these outstanding leaders of our party are committed to standing up for the elderly and improving their quality of life!” said DCCC Chairman Steve Israel. “These exceptional Members will lead the charge to pick up seats in 2014 and continue reversing the Tea Party wave that would condemn our elderly to shortened lives of pain and deterioration.

“Rep. Johnson has determined that the United States Congress, through its ability to amend the laws of nature, can virtually eliminate these canons put into effect by another party.”

Click the banner below to tell Congressional Republicans to stop blocking this important Democratic effort to improve the “golden years” for our poor and elderly!

Stop Congress Button
–30–
 

Shortfall

In just the Inland Empire of California, in the Mississippi Delta, in Detroit City, in suburban Phoenix, plus the major metropoli of both North and South Puffin, there may be a million people without commercial health insurance or Medicare or Medicaid. Mr. Obama says his signature health care law will extend coverage to more than 300,000 people by 2014 in that one region of California alone.

Good news?

Perhaps, but coverage may not translate into care: local health experts doubt there will be enough doctors to meet any of those areas’ needs. There simply are not enough docs even now.

THURSDAY, TWO WEEKS AGO
I had to wear comfortable, loose fitting clothes two weeks ago today (what, they don’t supply a johnny?) including a “button down shirt.” I wondered if they wanted one of my pinpoint oxfords or if poplin will be OK? They really meant a shirt with buttons, instead of one that pulls on and off over the head.

My cataracts have been growing for 3-4 years which is not enough for most insurance companies (many demand that vision diminishes to 20:40 corrected before permitting surgery) but mine said, “Just do it!”

eyeballWe got to the eye surgery center half an hour early only to find that the surgeon was running half an hour late. The IV Tech had trouble with my general furriness because he didn’t want me to have a Brozilian when he pulled the tape back off. I remember starting to roll out toward the procedure room and absolutely nothing from then to getting ready to be dropped at the curb. And it put my internal clock off so I have no idea of the elapsed time.

I felt like a tipsy old man when the put me in a wheelchair to wheel me out.

I was quite pleased to have things to hold on to for an hour or two after we left there. I napped part of the ride home.

FRIDAY
I said “you saw me but I didn’t see you” to the doc this morning but he told me I did see him and even asked a few questions.

He said surgery was routine.

Really good drugs: he could have said I cried like a baby and I wouldn’t know.

My white balance is back! It is amazing to see the difference in colors. Ditto the brightness. It may be about 4-6 weeks before the eye actually settles down to a steady focus.

Dr. Dowhan told me I can do my toe touches, tie my shoes, do dishes, anything that doesn’t involve lifting more than 25 pounds. He also figures the NSAID I take will have a synergistic effect with the steroid eye drops I’m using for a week.

That 25-pound restriction made me fear that I would need someone (else) to stack the winter supply when they do come in. And to pull the mower deck. And put up the storm windows. And so on. The Lumber yard finally got a shipment of pellets the day before my procedure and I arranged delivery for last Friday. Coincidentally, our son was here! Now I just need someone to Huck Finn the mower deck off the tractor and put it away.

SATURDAY
My eye was a little sore this morning, in the “eyelash caught under the lid” sense which the doc’s office told me to expect. The refractive error seems to keep changing ever so slightly each day.

TODAY
I have my second surgery this afternoon, opening my left eye to enormous possibilities, just two weeks after Dr. Dowhan had done the same to my right.

It might not have gotten done this year.

I’m fortunate. Some of the great eye centers of the country are within a day’s drive so I could have gone to Wills or Hopkins or even flown to Bascom Palmer in Miami without a second thought. I chose Thomas Dowhan here Vermont because he has as good a reputation as some of the other docs and because he passed Anne’s sniff test. Not only that, he could fit me in on my schedule.

Still, I couldn’t do it at my local hospital of choice because they had no openings until late November. I drove to an eye center an hour south of here.

Good that I got my eye patches this year.

The Association of American Medical Colleges forecasts that we’ll have a nationwide shortfall of 62,900 doctors (not patients, 62,900 doctors) in 2015. That number will more than double in just a dozen years, as we baby boomers and the 30 million newly insured drive demand for care ever higher.

“People will still get care,” Dr. Dowhan told me, “but the process gets slower and laborious and crankier.”

Federal Medicaid guidelines call for 60 – 80 primary care doctors per 100,000 residents in any region plus 85 – 105 specialists. The two counties in the Northwest corner of Vermont have 23 primary care docs associated with the one hospital and 67 specialists for about 56,000 residents. We’re on target today for specialists but we should already have 20 more primary care providers. And what do we do next year and the year after as our population rises? And today’s doctors age out?

Dr. Dowhan is just five years younger than I am. Can you spell r-e-t-i-r-e-m-e-n-t?

Obamacare makes all the metrics worse, from access to level of care to cost. That’s the story of this administration.

Even blind in one eye and can’t see with the other, we should all see that.